Photo: The Guardian US Politics
Politics
Are prediction markets accurate on elections? The US midterms are a big test
TL;DR
- Polymarket and Kalshi have risen for collecting the ‘wisdom of crowds’.
Short summary
Our full write-up is on its way. For the complete story, read the original report:
Nov 3, 2026 · Updated 11/4/2026, 9:09:29 PM · Reported with: The Hill, The Guardian US Politics
Sources (2)
NRI Bytes writes its own articles from the reporting below.
The Hill — Prediction markets foresaw Democratic dominance in midterms elections The Guardian US Politics — Are prediction markets accurate on elections? The US midterms are a big testUp next · Politics
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